Future-state and present-state contingencies

Different modes of uncertainty about the world

Happy New Year, fellow contrarians.

I haven’t posted much recently, but have spent the Christmas period reviewing the newsletter format, and have concluded that these longer-form essays are a bit of a distraction from building out the main content on the JC. They take a lot of work, and I’m not always wildly happy with the result.

No doubt now and then I’…